2017年SCI影响因子预测与点评
海归学者发起的公益学术平台
分享信息，整合资源
交流学术，偶尔风月
2017年官方SCI影响因子将在本月发布，知社学术圈在此预测各领域顶尖杂志最新影响因子，包括一些中国本土的新锐期刊，并与2016年的官方数据进行对比，几家欢喜几家忧。
今年官方影响因子虽然尚未发布，但2017年引用数据已基本齐全，可以做出准确估算，预期官方数据不会有大的出入。当然预测只是数字游戏，仅供读者参考，一切以官方发布为准。
首先看去年排名前25名的顶级期刊。高居榜首的仍然是第一神刊CA-A CANCER JOURNAL FOR CLINICIANS，影响因子超过240！该刊每年都受益于两篇文章——一篇是Global cancer statistics，另一篇是Cancer statistics，每篇引用都是数千次，大幅度拉高了杂志的影响因子。其他文章引用则非常一般。极端地讲，如果这个杂志每年只发这2篇文章，其影响因子将高达数千。这也充分说明为什么不能只看影响因子。
| R | Journal name | 2016 IF | 2017 预测 |
| 1 | CA-A CANCER JOURNAL FOR CLINICIANS | 187.0 | 241.8↑ |
| 2 | NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE | 72.4 | 77.5↑ |
| 3 | NATURE REVIEWS DRUG DISCOVERY | 57.0 | 48.9 |
| 4 | CHEMICAL REVIEWS | 47.9 | 52.7↑ |
| 5 | LANCET | 47.8 | 50.6↑ |
| 6 | NATURE REVIEWS MOLECULAR CELL BIOLOGY | 46.6 | 42.1 |
| 7 | JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION | 44.4 | 46.5↑ |
| 8 | NATURE BIOTECHNOLOGY | 41.7 | 35.4 |
| 9 | NATURE REVIEWS GENETICS | 40.3 | 41.6↑ |
| 10 | NATURE | 40.1 | 41.2↑ |
| 11 | NATURE REVIEWS IMMUNOLOGY | 39.9 | 42.0 |
| 12 | NATURE MATERIALS | 39.7 | 38.3 |
| 13 | NATURE NANOTECHNOLOGY | 39.0 | 37.1 |
| 14 | CHEMICAL SOCIETY REVIEWS | 38.6 | 39.8↑ |
| 15 | NATURE PHOTONICS | 37.9 | 32.9 |
| 16 | SCIENCE | 37.2 | 40.3↑ |
| 17 | NATURE REVIEWS CANCER | 37.1 | 42.1↑ |
| 18 | REVIEWS OF MODERN PHYSICS | 36.9 | 36.5 |
| 19 | Lancet Oncology | 33.9 | 35.9↑ |
| 20 | Progress in Materials Science | 31.1 | 23.5 |
| 21 | ANNUAL REVIEW OF ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS | 30.7 | 24.7 |
| 22 | CELL | 30.4 | 31.2↑ |
| 23 | Nature Medicine | 29.9 | 32.3↑ |
| 24 | Energy & Environmental Science | 29.5 | 29.4 |
| 25 | Living Reviews in Relativity | 29.3 | 19.2 |
| New | Nature Energy | 45.0 |
从上表可以看出，2017年影响因子与2016年比，不少都呈增长趋势。另外，Science和Nature都有所上涨，差距已经缩到1分以内。而新上榜的Nature Energy, 表现靓丽。在其他综合类期刊中，中国的National Science Review超过了9，与PNAS差距继续缩小。而Science Bulletin则站稳了前十名。新上榜的Science Advances, 将继续Nature Science争霸局面。
| R | Journal name | 2016 IF | 2017 预测 |
| 1 | NATURE | 40.1 | 41.2↑ |
| 2 | SCIENCE | 37.2 | 40.3↑ |
| 3 | NATURE COMMUNICATIONS | 12.1 | 11.8 |
| 4 | PNAS | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| 5 | National Science Review | 8.8 | 9.1↑ |
| 6 | GigaScience | 6.9 | 7.3↑ |
| 7 | Scientific Data | 4.8 | 5.1↑ |
| 8 | Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| 9 | Complexity | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Science Bulletin | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| New | Science Advances | 10.8 |
物理类期刊中，居前的多为综述类。PRX小有上浮，但Nature Physics, PRX, 和PRL三大格局未变。
| R | Journal name | 2016 IF | 2017 预测 |
| 1 | REVIEWS OF MODERN PHYSICS | 36.9 | 36.5 |
| 2 | Living Reviews in Relativity | 29.3 | 19.2 |
| 3 | NATURE PHYSICS | 22.8 | 22.3 |
| 4 | Advances in Physics | 21.8 | 30.7↑ |
| 5 | Annual Review of Condensed Matter Physics | 18.6 | 22.0↑ |
| 6 | PHYSICS REPORTS – REVIEW SELECTION | 17.4 | 19.8↑ |
| 7 | REPORTS ON PROGRESS IN PHYSICS | 14.3 | 13.4 |
| 8 | Applied Physics Reviews | 13.7 | 12.6 |
| 9 | PHYSICAL REVIEW X | 12.8 | 14.3↑ |
| 10 | PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS | 8.5 | 8.6 |
化学期刊上涨下滑波动幅度都不大。Energy & Environmental Science站稳29，进入顶尖行列。不过能源领域大热，君不见Nature Energy第一个影响因子高达45？
| R | Journal name | 2016 IF | 2017 预测 |
| 1 | CHEMICAL REVIEWS | 47.9 | 52.7↑ |
| 2 | CHEMICAL SOCIETY REVIEWS | 38.6 | 39.8↑ |
| 3 | ENERGY & ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE | 29.5 | 29.4 |
| 4 | NATURE CHEMISTRY | 25.9 | 25.6 |
| 5 | ACCOUNTS OF CHEMICAL RESEARCH | 20.3 | 20.7↑ |
| 6 | Annual Review of Physical Chemistry | 14.7 | 13.7 |
| 7 | JACS | 13.9 | 14.3↑ |
| 8 | Coordination Chemistry Reviews | 13.3 | 14.2↑ |
| 9 | Journal of Photochemistry and Photobiology C - Photochemistry Reviews | 12.3 | 15.4↑ |
| 10 | ANGEWANDTE CHEMIE -INTERNATIONAL EDITION | 12.0 | 11.7 |
| 11 | ACS Catalysis | 10.6 | 11.3↑ |
| 12 | Chemistry of Materials | 9.5 | 9.8↑ |
| 13 | Applied Catalysis B-Environmental | 9.4 | 11.5↑ |
| 14 | JPCL | 9.4 | 8.7 |
| 15 | Green Chemistry | 9.1 | 8.5 |
| 16 | Journal of Materials Chemistry A | 8.9 | 9.8↑ |
材料类期刊，总体比较平稳，除PROGRESS IN MATERIALS SCIENCE有大幅下降外，其它浮动都不大。
| R | Journal name | 2016 IF | 2017 预测 |
| 1 | NATURE MATERIALS | 39.7 | 38.3 |
| 2 | PROGRESS IN MATERIALS SCIENCE | 31.1 | 23.5 |
| 3 | MATERIALS SCIENCE & ENGINEERING R | 29.3 | 30.1↑ |
| 4 | Materials Today | 21.7 | 23.6↑ |
| 5 | ADVANCED MATERIALS | 19.8 | 21.5↑ |
| 6 | ADVANCED ENERGY MATERIALS | 16.7 | 17.6↑ |
| 7 | ANNUAL REVIEW OF MATERIALS RESEARCH | 13.4 | 15.4↑ |
| 8 | ADVANCED FUNCTIONAL MATERIALS | 12.1 | 13.1↑ |
| 9 | Materials Horizons | 10.7 | 13.1↑ |
| 10 | NPG Asia Materials | 9.2 | 6.2 |
生命类期刊相较去年普遍上升的境况来说，今年预计大多会小幅降低，其中NATURE BIOTECHNOLOGY、ANNUAL REVIEW OF IMMUNOLOGY和CANCER CELL下降颇多。
| R | Journal name | 2016 IF | 2017 预测 |
| 1 | NATURE REVIEWS MOLECULAR CELL BIOLOGY | 46.6 | 42.1 |
| 2 | NATURE BIOTECHNOLOGY | 41.7 | 35.4 |
| 3 | CELL | 30.4 | 31.2↑ |
| 4 | NATURE MEDICINE | 29.9 | 32.3↑ |
| 5 | NATURE REVIEWS NEUROSCIENCE | 28.9 | 32.3↑ |
| 6 | ANNUAL REVIEW OF IMMUNOLOGY | 28.4 | 22.8 |
| 7 | NATURE GENETICS | 28.0 | 26.8 |
| 8 | CANCER CELL | 27.4 | 22.8 |
| 9 | NATURE METHODS | 25.1 | 26.7↑ |
| 10 | CELL STEM CELL | 23.4 | 23.1 |
| 11 | NATURE CELL BIOLOGY | 20.1 | 19.0 |
| 12 | ANNUAL REVIEW OF BIOCHEMISTRY | 19.9 | 19.8 |
| 13 | CELL METABOLISM | 18.2 | 20.5↑ |
| 14 | SCIENCE TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE | 16.8 | 15.4 |
| 15 | Cell Research | 15.6 | 15.4 |
纳米类总体而言，上升和下滑幅度都不大，其中，NANO ENERGY将首次超过NANO LETTERS。
| R | Journal name | 2016 IF | 2017 预测 |
| 1 | NATURE NANOTECHNOLOGY | 39.0 | 37.1 |
| 2 | NANO TODAY | 17.5 | 17.5 |
| 3 | ACS NANO | 13.9 | 13.6 |
| 4 | NANO LETTERS | 12.7 | 12.1 |
| 5 | NANO ENERGY | 12.3 | 13.1↑ |
| 6 | Small | 8.6 | 9.5↑ |
| 7 | NANOSCALE | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| 8 | NANO RESEARCH | 7.4 | 7.9↑ |
| 9 | Nanotoxicology | 6.4 | 5.5 |
| 10 | Environmental Science - Nano | 6.0 | 6.1↑ |
最后看看中国期刊，总体表现良好，大多都在稳步上涨。特别值得一提的是， 新办的npj Computational Materials, Journal of Materiomics, 和 npj Quantum Materials都表现出色。
| R | Journal name | 2016 IF | 2017 预测 |
| 1 | Cell Research | 15.6 | 15.4 |
| 2 | Light-Science & Applications | 14.1 | 12.9 |
| 3 | National Science Review | 8.8 | 9.1↑ |
| 4 | Molecular Plant | 8.8 | 9.2↑ |
| 5 | Nano Research | 7.4 | 7.9↑ |
| 6 | Journal of Molecular Biology | 6.0 | 4.8 |
| 7 | Protein & Cell | 5.4 | 6.1↑ |
| 8 | Chinese Physics C | 5.1 | 2.9 |
| 9 | Organic Chemistry Frontiers | 5.0 | 5.4↑ |
| 10 | Nano-Micro Letters | 4.8 | 7.2↑ |
| 11 | Photonics Research | 4.7 | 5.2↑ |
| 12 | Geoscience Frontiers | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| 13 | Science China - Chemistry | 4.1 | 4.7↑ |
| 14 | Science Bulletin | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| 15 | Science China - Materials | 4.0 | 4.3↑ |
| New | npj Computational Materials | 8.9 | |
| New | Journal of Materiomics | 6.5 | |
| New | npj Quantum Materials | 6.3 |
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